convegno AIS “VERSO UN WELFARE SOCIETARIO E PLURALE: LO SCENARIO ITALIANO ALLA LUCE DELLA LEGGE 328/2000” che si terrà venerdì 10 febbraio 2006 a Milano. Il
programma
Università Bocconi
via Sarfatti 25 (sede centrale)
20136 Milano
Il corso di Laurea Specialistica in Discipline Economiche e Sociali (DES-LS)
organizza, nell'ambito del corso di "Population Dynamics and Economics" un
seminario del Prof. Joshua R. Goldstein (Princeton University, IIASA e VID)
dal titolo "The Changing Overlap of Generations".
Il seminario si terra' il giorno 28 novembre 2005,
alle ore 16.15 in Aula 11. Siete cordialmente invitati.
"The Changing Overlap of Generations"
Abstract
I explore how longer life and changes in childbearing influence the
presence of living mothers, grandmothers, and great-grandmothers.
Simple one-sex demographic models developed by Lotka, Keyfitz and
others can be used to do comparisons between different stable
demographic regimes. I extend these slightly to consider varying
demographic rates. A further extension considers the health status of
kin as measured by the years left they have to live. I illustrate
these models using demographic rates from Italy and the
United States.
Issues I will discuss include: the prevalence of the sandwich
generation (women responsible for their own children and ailing
parents); the availability of nanny grandmothers (those in good health
who can help take care of grandchildren); and the prevalence of 4
generation families.
In some ways, the current time may be a "Golden Age of
Grandmotherhood." High survival, relatively short generation lengths
of the past, and low labor force participation enable women now in the
50s and 60s and 70s to be highly active grandmothers. In the future,
longevity gains may be counterbalanced by older ages at becoming a
grandmother and (perhaps) later ages of retirement.
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